Here are two things to keep in mind when you see polls to the effect that Hillary Clinton is ahead of Donald Trump:
- It's cool to be in favor of the first female president. Some percentage of people will tell pollsters that they intend to vote for Clinton when in fact they intend to vote for Trump or stay home. Everybody wants to be seen as cool.
- It's uncool to be in favor of Trump, who is being vilified by the mainstream media, Democrats, and even some Republicans. Some percentage of people will tell pollsters that they do not intend to vote for Trump, or even that they intend not to vote for him, when in fact they intend to vote for him. Nobody wants to be seen as uncool.
I don't think there's any question that these two phenomena are occurring. The only question is what the percentages are. I think the percentages are high, and for that reason polls should be ignored (or at least discounted). Donald Trump is far more popular, and Hillary Clinton far less popular, than polls show. Don't be surprised to see a Trump landslide on 8 November. You heard it here first.
